Now that 2019 is in the books, let’s take a look at how 2020 is shaping up. Obviously, class metrics will change considerably. The benefit to charting how things are looking now versus how they shape up a year from now will provide insight as to how much fluctuation occurs, and maybe provide some relief for fans experiencing angst over their school’s recruiting efforts before the classes are signed. I expect lots of change between now and this time next year, but here is how things are shaping up for next year’s class at the moment.
Overall Summary:
| TOTAL | N 5-stars | N 4-stars | N 3-stars |
| 1000 | 34 | 309 | 657 |
| Tot Leaning home | 5-star leaning home | 4-star leaning home | 3-star leaning away |
| 257 | 15 | 129 | 113 |
| Tot Leaning away | 5-star leaning away | 4-star leaning away | 3-star leaning home |
| 211 | 17 | 119 | 75 |
| % Leaning Home | % 5-star leaning home | % 4-star leaning home | %3-star leaning home |
| 26% | 44% | 42% | 17% |
| % Leaning Away | % 5-star leaning away | % 4-star leaning away | %3-star leaning away |
| 21% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
The above chart shows the breakdown of how the top 1000 recruits (247 Composite) are leaning. Many aren’t leaning toward a school yet. Out of the 34 five-star recruits, 15 are leaning toward an in-state school while 17 are leaning toward an out-of-state school. The 2019 class saw 65% of the five-stars leave their home state. Right now, that figure is at 50%.
By Team:
| College lean | No. of leans | No. 5-star | No. 4-star | No. 3-star | Avg. Rate of lean |
| UCLA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.9568 |
| Georgia | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0.9458 |
| Ohio State | 27 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 0.9441 |
| Clemson | 17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0.9437 |
| USC | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0.9368 |
| Notre Dame | 12 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0.9365 |
| LSU | 23 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 0.9360 |
| Penn State | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0.9356 |
| Alabama | 15 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0.9338 |
| Oklahoma | 14 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0.9298 |
| Stanford | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0.9289 |
| Florida | 18 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 0.9282 |
| Miami | 18 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 0.9220 |
| Washington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.9219 |
| Texas | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 0.9213 |
| N.C. State | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0.9185 |
| West Virginia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.9149 |
| Louisville | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.9143 |
| Tennessee | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0.9117 |
| Arizona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.9090 |
| Texas A&M | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0.9076 |
| Florida State | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 0.9074 |
| South Carolina | 12 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0.9056 |
| Auburn | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0.9055 |
| Oregon | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0.9041 |
| Ole Miss | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.9041 |
| UTSA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.9020 |
| Michigan | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 0.8963 |
| Arizona State | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.8943 |
| North Carolina | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.8921 |
| Wisconsin | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.8866 |
| Nebraska | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.8863 |
| Mississippi State | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.8835 |
| Virginia Tech | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.8832 |
| California | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.8818 |
| Minnesota | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.8795 |
| Fresno State | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8789 |
| Arkansas | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.8785 |
| TCU | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.8781 |
| Michigan State | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0.8743 |
| Kentucky | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8736 |
| Duke | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.8703 |
| Purdue | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.8670 |
| Oregon State | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.8668 |
| Maryland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.8667 |
| Northwestern | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8663 |
| Iowa | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0.8634 |
| Utah | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.8626 |
| Oklahoma State | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.8608 |
| N/A | 532 | 2 | 61 | 469 | 0.8605 |
| Brigham Young | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.8596 |
| Missouri | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.8576 |
| Baylor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.8569 |
| Iowa State | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.8561 |
| Boston College | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.8527 |
| Rutgers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8527 |
| Texas Tech | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.8520 |
| Cincinnati | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.8477 |
| Tulsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8477 |
| Virginia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.8445 |
| Colorado | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8427 |
| Vanderbilt | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.8366 |
| UAB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8366 |
| UCF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8333 |
| Wake Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8333 |
| Indiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8316 |
The above table is a breakdown of how each school is doing in recruiting among the top 1000 players currently. Florida currently is 16th in terms of average talent rating for recruits committed/leaning toward them with a score of .9282. UCLA has the highest average, but they only have 3 leans.
By Position:
| Position | Offense | Defense | Skill Pos | Total | 5-stars | 4-stars | 3-stars | Avg. rating |
| SDE | No | Yes | No | 54 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 0.8803 |
| RB | Yes | No | Yes | 73 | 5 | 24 | 44 | 0.8895 |
| ILB | No | Yes | No | 35 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 0.8765 |
| OLB | No | Yes | No | 75 | 2 | 27 | 46 | 0.8824 |
| WR | Yes | No | Yes | 162 | 5 | 61 | 96 | 0.8895 |
| OT | Yes | No | No | 98 | 3 | 33 | 62 | 0.8870 |
| PRO | Yes | No | Yes | 46 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 0.8798 |
| ATH | Yes | No | Yes | 85 | 1 | 23 | 61 | 0.8788 |
| CB | No | Yes | Yes | 78 | 4 | 21 | 53 | 0.8814 |
| OG | Yes | No | No | 43 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 0.8759 |
| DT | No | Yes | No | 66 | 1 | 28 | 37 | 0.8908 |
| WDE | No | Yes | No | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 0.8864 |
| APB | Yes | No | Yes | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0.8829 |
| DUAL | Yes | No | Yes | 33 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 0.8718 |
| TE | Yes | No | No | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 0.8692 |
| OC | Yes | No | No | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0.8688 |
| S | No | Yes | Yes | 57 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 0.8766 |
This table breaks down the class by position. There are 73 running backs in the top 1000 players, 5 of which are 5-stars, 24 are 4-stars, and 44 are 3-stars. The overall average rating for the position group is .8895. The skill position designation is subjective. Feel free to let me know if you disagree and why. I will gladly take input on that.
The University of Florida Gators:
This table depicts how Florida’s class is looking now. So far, so good.
By State:
This map shows how many recruits from this sample are leaning/committed to schools in various states. 53 of them are leaning toward Florida teams, with Florida and Miami each having 18, FSU having 16, and UCF having 1.
By Home State:
This map depicts where the top 1000 recruits for 2020 are from. Of note, 3 are from Canada and not depicted here. Florida and Texas are doing a lot of the heavy lifting, however, Georgia is producing some great players. Here is how the per capita breakdown looks:
| State | 2018 Population | Players produced | Per Capita lean (by 10,000) |
| Hawaii | 1420491 | 18 | 78.9 |
| Georgia | 10519475 | 105 | 100.2 |
| Alabama | 4887871 | 45 | 108.6 |
| Louisiana | 4659978 | 39 | 119.5 |
| Tennessee | 6770010 | 41 | 165.1 |
| Florida | 21299325 | 117 | 182.0 |
| Wisconsin | 1805832 | 9 | 200.6 |
| Texas | 28701845 | 139 | 206.5 |
| Nevada | 3034392 | 11 | 275.9 |
| Missouri | 6126452 | 22 | 278.5 |
| Kentucky | 4468402 | 16 | 279.3 |
| Arizona | 7171646 | 25 | 286.9 |
| Maryland | 6042718 | 19 | 318.0 |
| Michigan | 9995915 | 30 | 333.2 |
| Ohio | 11689442 | 33 | 354.2 |
| South Carolina | 5084127 | 13 | 391.1 |
| Oklahoma | 3943079 | 10 | 394.3 |
| Utah | 3161105 | 8 | 395.1 |
| Virginia | 8517685 | 21 | 405.6 |
| California | 39557045 | 88 | 449.5 |
| North Carolina | 10383620 | 23 | 451.5 |
| Nebraska | 1929268 | 4 | 482.3 |
| Washington | 7535591 | 15 | 502.4 |
| Iowa | 3156145 | 6 | 526.0 |
| Kansas | 2911505 | 5 | 582.3 |
| Arkansas | 3013825 | 5 | 602.8 |
| Indiana | 6691878 | 10 | 669.2 |
| Pennsylvania | 12807060 | 16 | 800.4 |
| Minnesota | 5611179 | 7 | 801.6 |
| Colorado | 5695564 | 7 | 813.7 |
| Oregon | 4190713 | 5 | 838.1 |
| Illinois | 12741080 | 15 | 849.4 |
| Massachusetts | 6902149 | 7 | 986.0 |
| Connecticut | 3572665 | 3 | 1190.9 |
